中国汽车出口超过德国仅小幅落后于日本，2023年中国汽车出口能超过日本成为世界第一吗？

译者
随风起舞

2023-01-21 14:04:44

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中国汽车出口超过德国仅小幅落后于日本，2023年中国汽车出口能超过日本成为世界第一吗？

本文译自Youtube，原标题：2023, will China's auto exports surpass Japan to become the world's number one?

日前，据中汽协会数据，2022 年，由于海外供给不足和中国车企出口竞争力的大幅增强，汽车出口突破 300 万辆，达到 311.1 万辆，同比增长 54.4%。

中国已超过德国，成为全球第二大汽车出口国。分析人士称，中国汽车出口量也正在逼近日本，并有可能在未来几年夺得全球最大汽车出口国的头衔。

据悉，中国自 2009 年以来一直是全球最大的汽车市场，不过，中国汽车消费市场，长期由大众、通用、宝马和奔驰等外国品牌主导。

而在近两年，随着国产车的全面崛起，比亚迪、吉利等中国本土品牌加速抢占国内市场，并向全球推广。如今，比亚迪在国内新能源汽车市场，已经属于遥遥领先的品牌，合资品牌短时间内很难追上。

此外，比亚迪、奇瑞、长城、吉利等车企也开始加速海外扩张，前段时间，比亚迪接连登陆欧洲、东南亚、日本等市场，并且获得了德国租车公司 10 万辆大单。

目前来看，自主品牌出口最多的是上汽集团，出口量达90.6万台，主要出口的品牌是MG，该车因为之前是英国品牌，所以在东南亚、澳大利亚、新西兰、沙特以及欧洲推广时更容易获得海外消费者的认可，主销车型是MG ZS系列。紧随其后的是奇瑞，2022年出口达45.2万台，同比增长67.7%，主销车型是瑞虎系列。

第三名是长安汽车，主销市场是南美、东南亚、中东等地区。东风和吉利集团紧随其后，值得一提的是吉利旗下的领克品牌在欧洲表现不错，主销车型是领克01 PHEV版本，汽车均价都相对较高。2023年，自主品牌将更加努力拓展海外市场，特别是在新能源汽车这一块，自主品牌的三电技术和智能驾驶方面优势明显，预计未来出口的主销车型将是新能源车。

As the world's number one producer and seller of new cars, it is the goal of Chinese automakers to become the world's biggest exporter of cars, and the key to achieving this goal is the upcoming 2023, so can China continue to maintain high growth in overseas export sales in the new year? OK, that and more is exactly what we are going to talk about today. Let’s take a look.

作为全球最大的新车生产商和销售商，中国汽车制造商的目标是成为全球最大的汽车出口国，而实现这一目标的关键在于即将到来的2023年，中国能否在新的一年继续保持海外出口销量的高增长？好的，这就是我们今天要讨论的内容。让我们来看看。

edward kon

With China's size and scale, it is not impossible to overwhelm Japanese prowess in the automotive industry

以中国的体量和规模，在汽车行业压倒日本并非不可能。

TC691 Kiing

let's think if every Chinese has a MIC vechicle..there will be far more production lines needed to fill this figure up. China has a most comprehensive mechanical, battery, AI, navigation system and semiconductor supply chain for any EV. Even Vietnam or Indonesia made EV will be surpassing conventional Japan and Europe players some days later.

让我们想想看，如果每个中国人都拥有一辆中国制造的汽车，这将需要更多的生产线来填补这一数字。中国拥有适用于所有电动汽车的最全面的机械、电池、人工智能、导航系统和半导体供应链，即使是越南或印度尼西亚制造的电动汽车也会在不久之后超越传统的日本和欧洲玩家。

Wu Lung

Japan made a bad bet on hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. The production of hydrogen from water require 4 times the energy that is obtained from using the hydrogen in fuel cells.

日本在氢燃料电池汽车上下了一笔糟糕的赌注，从水中生产氢气所需的能量是在燃料电池中使用氢气所获得的能量的4倍。

T8PolestarCyan

When it comes to heavy vehicles, hydrogen fuel cells is clearly a better choice. XCMG E300 performed very badly on hill even when empty!! Even worse the XCMG E300 cannot reverse uphill with load, even 200kg of load is too much for that truck! For that I rather have Isuzu FRR 500 or even better, a FSR 650 with Alison transmission. Either I go for Hydrogen fuel cell or back to diesels.

对于重型车辆，氢燃料电池显然是更好的选择。徐工E300在山坡上的表现非常糟糕，即使是空载！！更糟糕的是，徐工E300不能带负载倒车上坡，即使是200公斤的负载对那辆卡车来说也太多了！为此，我宁愿选择五十铃FRR 500或配备了Alison变速箱的更好的FSR 650。我要么选择氢燃料电池，要么选择柴油机。

TC691 Kiing

It wasn't bad. Sony Beta is better than National S-VHS.. but main stream and affordable win the market. Producing Hydrogen from costed energy source could be a bad idea. Australia and Malaysia produces Hydrogen from excessive coal and hydro-power. US produces deuterium or tritium from nuke plant...It is almost free.

还不错。虽然索尼的Beta标准优于国际性的S-VHS标准，但主流和实惠赢得了市场。用昂贵的能源生产氢气可能是个坏主意，澳大利亚和马来西亚利用过量的煤炭和水力发电生产氢气，而美国从核电站生产氘或氚.....它几乎是免费的。

译注：这里说的是录像机的标准之争，索尼坚持以Betamax对抗由全世界公开规格的VHS联盟，最后长达14年的规格主导之争终于在1988年索尼毅然加入VHS阵营，Betamax全面退出市场而结束。

Jackson Wong

China cars are very beautiful , superb quality and very much affordable .

In Singapore before you buy a car you have to pay S$ 100,000 buy a piece of paper called certificate of entitlement which is only valid for maximum 10 years and have to pay additional for the car itself around S$100,000 , in total you pay around S$200,000 for an ordinary car ,all over the world which sells below USD $50,000 .

中国的汽车非常漂亮，质量上乘，价格实惠。

在新加坡，在你买车之前你必须支付10万新元购买一张有效期最长为10年被称为权利证书的纸，并且必须为汽车本身支付大约10万新元的额外费用，你总共需要支付大约20万新元。而在世界其他地方，普通汽车的售价低于5万美元。

Isuru Thiwanka

I am also willing buy BYD, NIO evs and Geely and other brands for my car sale as soon as existing went off.��

在我现在的汽车卖掉之后，我也愿意购买比亚迪、蔚来和吉利以及其他品牌的汽车。

Millionaires

The Chinese EVs are quite advanced, China & The USA are the two top players in this field. But the Japanese cars are more advanced in fuel cars. The Germany and Japan are the two top players in this filed.

中国的电动汽车相当先进，中国和美国是这一领域的两个顶级玩家。而日本汽车在燃油车方面更先进，德国和日本是这一领域的两个顶尖选手。

Will Eisinga

It is All about Electric Cars. Battery Industry. Electric Car Production. Raw Materials, Batteries, EV Cars. Quality, Price, Service. China is frontrunner. Companies BYD CATL SAIC Batteries, BYD, Tesla Shanghai Gigafactory, NIO SwapNGo Stations, Xpeng Wuling MG Volvo Polestar GMC Geely and many more. China is frontrunner. Leaving ICE Cars in the Dust. I wait for NIO SwapNGo Stations in the EU Route du Soleil to go to Spain Costa Blanca. Swap Swap Swap Swap Swap

这一切都与电动汽车有关。中国是电池行业、电动汽车生产、原材料、电池、质量、价格、服务领域的领先者。中国拥有比亚迪、宁德时代、上汽的电池，比亚迪、特斯拉上海超级工厂、蔚来的换电站、小鹏、五菱、名爵、沃尔沃、极星、长城、吉利等公司。中国遥遥领先，那些生产燃油车的公司望尘莫及。我正在欧盟等待能够换电的蔚来来西班牙Costa Blanca。换电换电换电！

agus edyanto

hope that China will continue to improve the quality of its products to be on par with those made in Germany/Japan

希望中国继续提高产品质量，使其能够与德国/日本制造的产品相媲美。

ChinaSongsCollection

From what I've heard, quality of Chinese EVs already exceed those of Germany's.

I don't know about Japan because they don't make many EVs.

Also, I don't know if you realize or not, there are a HUGE number of complaints against some German EVs (such as those from VW and Mercedes).

So far, I haven't heard ANY Chinese EVs having that level of complaints.

( Edit : Please check out the Electric Viking's YouTube channel if are interested to find out more about the problems of German EVs )

据我所知，中国电动汽车的质量已经超过了德国。
我不了解日本，因为他们生产的电动汽车不多。
此外，我不知道你是否意识到存在大量针对某些德国电动汽车（例如大众和梅赛德斯的电动汽车）的投诉。
到目前为止，我还没有听到任何中国电动汽车有收到这种程度的投诉。
（编辑：如果您想了解更多关于德国电动汽车问题的信息，请查看Electric Viking的YouTube频道）

T8PolestarCyan

@ChinaSongsCollection Mitsubishi already made one of the world's first ever EV - Mitsubishi iMiEV (based on ICE iCar or just "i") and shortly later Nissan Leaf (1st gen). Both of them had a very bumpy start due to huge scepticism back then. Now some people look back to them as a good 2nd hand EVs due to higher price tags on EVs (compared to ICEs).

So yes those two Japanese car brands - Nissan and Mitsubishi have made EVs even long before Tesla.

三菱制造了世界上第一款电动汽车之一-三菱iMiEV（基于ICE iCar或仅加了个“i”），不久后日产推出了Leaf（第1代）。由于当时对电动汽车存在巨大的怀疑，二者的开局都非常坎坷。现在，由于电动汽车的价格较高（与燃油车相比），一些人开始将其视为一款不错的二手电动汽车。

所以，是的，这两个日本汽车品牌——日产和三菱早在特斯拉之前就制造了电动汽车。

ChinaSongsCollection

@T8PolestarCyan Hi. Thanks for the info.

Yes I do know that Japan and others have had EVs since a long while back before Tesla.

But I was more referring to modern EVs of today since EVs of those early periods obviously can't be compared to the current EVs of today.

But I agree that Japan should be given some credit for helping start the electric revolution.

嗨，谢谢你提供的信息。
是的，我确实知道日本和其他国家早在特斯拉之前就有电动汽车了。
但我更多的是指今天的现代电动汽车，因为早期的电动汽车显然无法与现在的电动汽车相比。
但我同意日本应该因帮助开启电力革命而获得一些荣誉。

T8PolestarCyan

@ChinaSongsCollection True but I don't see significant difference between so to say 1st and 2nd gen Nissan Leaf other than blue-tooth, infotainment and such.

Both Nissan and Mitsubishi have experience as I've said so they can use what they already know and improve on it and/or keep costs down.

A lot of new EVs esp. new Nissan Leaf, Hyundai Kona electric etc. are cost prohibitive to some people. So did doesn't hurt to bring in more low cost EVs like Nissan Sakura and Mitsubishi EK X EV though there are Chinese ones like Wuling Hongguang Mini EV, Ora Funky Cat... just to name a few.

Basically I like to give certain people a benefit of a doubt if possible.

没错，除了蓝牙、信息娱乐等，我看不出第一代日产Leaf和第二代之间有什么显著的区别。
正如我所说，日产和三菱都有生产电动汽车的经验，因此它们可以利用它们已经知道的知识来改进和/或降低成本。
虽然中国也有五菱宏光迷你、Ora Funky Cat等车型....但许多新的电动汽车对一些人来说成本过高（尤其是新的日产Leaf、现代Kona等），所以我们可以引入更多的低成本的电动汽车（如日产樱花和三菱EK X EV），仅举几个例子。
基本上，如果可能的话，我喜欢给某些人一个怀疑的好处。

Jacku

@Suresh Shama - Made in India Tuk Tuk facing severe competition from Thailand and Philippine Tuk Tuk.

@Suresh Shama-印度制造的突突车正面临来自泰国和菲律宾制造的突突车的激烈竞争。

China Hamyku

In the field of traditional fuel vehicles, China started too late. However, as the world enters the era of new energy vehicles, China stands on the same starting line as global automakers and takes the lead one step ahead. China is now not only the world's largest manufacturer of new energy electric vehicles, but also the world's largest market for new energy vehicles, as well as the world's largest production base for new energy electric vehicle batteries. Japan made a wrong bet when the world entered the era of new energy vehicles. Japan is more focused on hydrogen energy vehicles. However, in reality, the cost of hydrogen energy is too high, and it is difficult to be accepted by the market at present.

在传统的燃油汽车领域，中国的起步太晚。然而，随着世界进入新能源汽车时代，中国与全球汽车制造商站在了同一条起跑线上并领先了一步。中国现在不仅是世界最大的新能源电动汽车制造商，也是世界最大的新能源汽车市场，同时也是世界最大的新能源电动汽车电池的生产基地。当世界进入新能源汽车时代时，日本下了一个错误的赌注，日本更专注于氢能源汽车。但现实中，氢能的成本过高，目前很难被市场接受。

sunshine sun

CHINA give incentives for EXISTING ICE vehicles in China ( ~ 340million ICE ) that need to be scrap over time. Many ICE are due for replacement ( More than 7 years old). If it replace 40 miiion per YEAR ...it would take over 10 years !!! Thus CHINA itself can absorb 40 Million EV per year. Increasing prices for Petrol , Diesel and Road Tax as China progress towards Carbon and Polllution reduction will expediate the transion to EV. text-green-game-over

中国应该对现有的需要报废的燃油车（约3.4亿辆）给予奖励，中国有许多燃油车需要更换（车龄超过7年），如果每年更换4000万辆....这将需要10年时间！！！因此，中国每年可以吸收4000万辆电动汽车。随着中国在减少碳排放和污染方面取得进展，汽油、柴油和道路税价格的上涨将加速向电动汽车的转变。

Lyimo Ej

Just tell china to make their cars as reliable as japanese cars. Exporting too much unreliable cars will make no difference with germany's volkswagen.

我只想对中国说让它们生产的汽车和日本汽车一样可靠，否则出口太多不可靠的汽车就与德国大众没有什么区别。

T8PolestarCyan

I can tell you which brands you can rely on. SAIC MG, Haval and BYD. So far so good for your MG ZS EV. I am seeing more and more Chinese cars on our roads mostly driven by... non-Chinese. Tell you what, why don't you check out Haval in person and see for yourself? Haval Jolion and H6 are not popular for nothing. I'm seeing more of them on our roads.

我可以告诉你哪些品牌（上汽MG、哈弗和比亚迪）值得信赖。到目前为止，MG ZS电动汽车很不错。我在我们的道路上看到越来越多的中国汽车在行驶，大部分都是由……非中国人在驾驶。你为什么不亲自去看看哈弗呢？哈弗Jolion和H6的畅销并非没有原因，我在路上看到它们的次数越来越多。

S Leo

For sure German cars are only good if they are leased as you will not be saddled with unbearable repair costs when the warranty runs out which is why Japanese cars have been so popular